Monday, November 28, 2011

How GOP Should Engage Climate Science

How GOP Should Engage Climate Science

By: Bob Inglis
 
Texas Gov. Rick Perry's recent assertion that the science of climate change has been politicized is almost certainly true. Environmental groups (the kind that always gave me F's on my congressional report cards for voting against bills such as cap-and-trade) decided a while back to run this play on the left side of the political field. But perhaps the strongest proof of Perry's assertion is what we conservatives are doing now.

Aided by energized climate deniers on talk TV and radio, we're driving a powerful wedge that divides God-fearing, red-meat eating Republicans from the arugula-eating bed-wetters we see on the left. Wedges work. And yet we aspire to bring America together?

Perry asserts, and many conservatives believe, that the flow of grants have produced a corresponding flow of studies indicating human causes of climate change. Skepticism is warranted, but it's relieved by an observation: Scientists become famous by disproving the consensus, not by parroting it. You don't get a theory named for yourself by writing papers that say, "Yeah, like he said." You become famous (and, for the pure of heart, you advance science) by breaking through with new understandings.

Grasping at outliers

In the zeal of our disproof, many conservatives have latched on to the outliers to create the appearance of uncertainty where little uncertainty exists. Accordingly, only 15% of the public knows that 97% of climate scientists have concluded that the planet is rapidly warming as a result of human activity.

Perhaps we could be forgiven for this data manipulation if we were attempting to deliver the nation from some greater ill. Many conservatives believe that, even if climate change is caused by human activity, the costs of correction outweigh the benefits. What does that calculation say about our objectivity, our commitment to accountability and our belief in free markets?

But at what cost?

Conservatives say that free enterprise, not government mandates, can deliver innovation. But we've been waiting since 1973 to be freed from foreign oil. Maybe that's because all the costs aren't "in" on petroleum — the national security risk, the costs of protecting the supply lines out of the Middle East, the cost of the pollution from tailpipes and the cost of tax subsidies for petroleum. If those costs were paid at the pump and not out of sight, we'd be aware of our need, and America's entrepreneurs would meet our need with new fuels.

But markets can't respond when some fuels escape accountability. If the coal industry, for instance, were held accountable for all of coal's costs — including health effects — we'd build emission-free nuclear power plants instead of coal-fired plants. Electricity rates would rise because we'd be paying all of coal's cost at the meter, but health insurance premiums would fall. In such an all-costs-in scenario, the profit motive would drive innovation just as it drove innovation with the Internet and the PC — without clumsy government mandates.

Conservatives can restore our objectivity by acknowledging that Americans are already paying all the hidden costs of energy. We can prove our commitment to accountability by properly attaching all costs to all fuels. We can prove our belief in free markets by eliminating all subsidies and letting the free enterprise system sort out winners and losers among competing fuels.

Or, more cynically, we can attempt to disprove science, protect the fossilized and deprive America of a muscular, free enterprise, no-growth-of-government alternative to cap and trade.

2 comments:

  1. It's refreshing to see a self-proclaimed conservative give clarification on scientific aspects of climate change. However the perceived need on behalf of some media to give both sides equal access to the debate despite 97% of the evidence being based on one side has muddied the waters. It'd be nicer for us all if we weren't creating such a climate problem.
    Regarding republican beliefs on the costs of mitigation, the (UK based) Stern Review (Nicholas Stern is a former World Bank Cheif Economist & VP) highlighlights mitigation costs now as much cheaper than later.
    The free markets are unable to get out of this particular hole because of the debt crisis (private debt being the most debilitation of all), so the resolution must be to incorporate saving the environment into the economic solutions.
    The best instrument to support is called Cap and Share (which is quite different to cap and trade which lets the markets deal with - the same markets that have gotten the global economy into so much trouble). This same instrument can be used to fix the personal debt crisis without giving preferential treatment to people percieved by the markets to have made foolish choices. I can also make the poorer more wealthy which creates more markets (the poor spend far more freely than the rich who tend to hoard and invest in the markets).
    Of course to fix the problems, firstly they need to be recognised.

    Posted by Kieran

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  2. The article is poorly written. Don't waste your time trying to decipher the stand the author is taking.

    Posted by Gerald

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